Weapons users and designers are not generally the same people, and the latter succeed to the extent that they can understand, imagine, and (most importantly) anticipate the needs of the former.

The literature on automatic weapons conceptual design is thin indeed. (Don’t take our word for it: let us google that for you). So let’s adapt the process used by Dan Raymer in his Aircraft Design — a Conceptual Approach to weapons design. Roskam and other references for aeronautical engineers use a broadly similar process, but we have Raymer on the desk here, and Roskam’s volumes are in another room. (We’re working from the 1992 edition here, published by AIAA).

Raymer envisions three phases of design taking place before metal is cut: conceptual design, preliminary design, and detail design. Here are Raymer’s phases adapted to gun design:

  • Conceptual Design firms up the basics: what’s the weapon configured like, what will it shoot, what are its dimensions (including the critical one of weight), can the customer requirements be met, and (key question) can they be met with an affordable and producible product? (Producible was not a Raymer requirement, but he’s talking about airplanes, which remain highly customized, bespoke even, products. Small arms need to be produced in mass quantities at high speed, and so the conceptual designer needs to know his way around industrial processes).
  • Preliminary Design, says Raymer, begins “when the major changes are over.” Examples of major changes for a service rifle would be conventional vs. bullpup, or mode of operation (gas-operated, rotating bolt vs. gas-operated, tipping block). Preliminary design ends when the project manager freezes the configuration. At this point, some of the structural and functional facets of the weapon have been modeled.
  • Detail Design is the place where full-scale development begins to happen. Up to now, the XXI Century Blaster has existed as drawings or 3D software models, but a lot of the details aren’t fleshed out. Now they get fleshed out, and production methods for each part are developed.

All phases are critical, but the most critical phase is conceptual design, because a fundamental error here will produce a flawed and unsuccessful weapon — one that can only be fixed with great difficulty, if at all. Most of the time a weapon is ignominiously withdrawn from service, it’s because they botched the conceptual design. It can be hard for users to tell if the turkey they’ve been handed is a swan in need of more development (like, say, the early M16) or a full-blooded turkey (the British SA80), because at the  individual user levels, the symptoms may be the same. The difference is important, though, because the undeveloped swan will respond well to further development (a la M16) and the immature turkey will just grow into a bigger turkey no matter how much development money you feed it in pursuit of improvements. If you do finally get it to work, it doesn’t happen at an economical point (SA80 again) and it only occurs because dogged engineering triumphed over bad design.

Conceptual design is fluid and iterative, with a lot of feedback. Perhaps in the near future we’ll look at some of the conceptual design drivers, a few of which are depicted in the accompanying graphic. (So what’s missing?)

If you look at weapons through history, you can observe certain long-term trends. For example,  individual weapns have gotten lighter, lower-caliber, and fired higher-velocity ammunition ever since the introduction of the matchlock, and they have fired more rounds faster ever since the introduction of the percussion cap in the early nineteenth Century.

This entry was posted in Future Weapons, Industry, Weapons Technology on by Hognose.

About Hognose

Former Special Forces 11B2S, later 18B, weapons man. (Also served in intelligence and operations jobs in SF).

3 thoughts on “What Goes In to Weapons Design

Medic09

An interesting and important discussion. Unfortunately, the designers sometimes don’t speak enough with the end-users during the process. Then the evolution to ‘great weapon’ or revelation of a real turkey takes longer. The guys who test a weapon on the range don’t see the stuff that bothers the guys in the field. This holds true for other items like clothing and load bearing gear. It’s one thing to customize your gear; it’s another to have to replace it out-of-pocket because the issued gear design doesn’t do the job you need it to do. And it really helps when the original ‘dreamer’/concept guy has been there and done what he wants to accomplish better. I understand that Israeli tank crews really liked the Merkava when it came out. That was partly due to the fact that the designer, General Tal, was a tank soldier and cared about the crewmen’s concerns, safety, and comfort.

Hognose Post author

That’s a good comment, and there are other positive examples. Many successful weapons designers have been soldiers, from Hiram Berdan to Mikhail Kalashnikov. But the AR-10’s conceptual design came from a lawyer, and was made practical by a professional engineer (well, a team of engineers).

And John Browning was not much of an end user or military weapons. Although his son Val, an Army officer in WWI, gave him a feedback loop, that was near the climax of JMB’s already long and illustrious career.

To make a revolutionary advance, you have to be able to walk away from your installed base and make something so insanely great that they follow you. You have to beat your best previous product. (This is the secret of Jobs and Apple, beginning with the first commercial graphic interfaces when they were the dominant computer maker in the world with the Apple II). As Napoleon said of war, “all the important things are very simple. But all the simple things are hard!” Most designers are better off aiming for an evolutionary, not revolutionary, step. After all, most revolutions fail (and the revolutionaries are put to the sword).

Your new design has to be so much better that there’s no question at all it’s a quantum leap over the current product, especially when the current is not fatally flawed. but is “good enough”. That’s where the partisans of weapons like the 1941 Johnson, or the current HK416, FN SCAR or XM8 have it wrong. Those weapons are all OK and might be slightly better in some measures than the M1, the M16 or the M4A1. But in this game there’s so much inertia against you that a win by an inch is no win at all, you need to win by a mile.

One other point, that applies to the great weapons as well as General Tal’s tank: the best products were made by many hands, but are the core concept of a single conceptual designer. Design by committee never achieves “insanely great”: a committee is a case study in regression to the mean.

Justaclerk

Adapting aircraft design to weapons is a stroke of genius. If I may add, aircraft design has moved to a concurrent process, which overlaps requirements, conceptual design, preliminary design, detailed design, manufacturing and testing thus, theoretically, reducing the time to the line. (John R. Fielding, “Introduction to Aircraft Design”).

Although in theory this would be more efficient process, the fielding of the Dreamliner and A380 was anything but.