Category Archives: Weapons Usage and Employment

AR vs. Feral Hogs

From CNN, of all things. And played basically straight; Hal Shouse, who drives his “Hambulance” as part of the feral “Hog SWAT Team,” which is what he calls his one-man (plus paying customers) hog-eradication firm, explains that he could eradicate hogs with a single-shot rifle, but not nearly as effectively as he does with an AR. And CNN reports, with much less editorializing than we’ve come to expect from them.

It’s almost as if they want to start doing news again.

Hat tip: this week’s W4, The Captain’s Quarters.

Effect of Smaller Mags on Rounds Fired

It’s become conventional wisdom, but do larger magazines really affect your ability to fire X number of aimed shots in period Y? Here’s an experiment, with Sheriff Ken Campbell refereeing as an experienced shooter (Jim) and an inexperienced one (Christy) fire with several magazine configurations. The results are eye-opening. Jim and Christy each tried putting 30 rounds downrange from a bog-standard Glock — first as two 15-round magazines, then as three 10-rounders, and finally as five 6-round magazines, a configuration that only Andrew Cuomo (D-Apalachin Summit) could love. Here’s what it looks like:

As you might expect, the experienced shooter outperforms the novice — by a couple of seconds, which is also the difference between the most convenient (two mags) and least (five) reload situations. In terms of real, practical, difference… there isn’t any. It’s simply a matter of convenience, not necessity.

The video also demonstrates AR-15 10-versus-20-round mag performance, and how the “New York Reload” (brainchild, as you may know, of fabled NYPD marksman and gunfighter Detective Jim Cirillo, of the legendary Stakeout Squad) means you can put equivalent lead on target even if your weapon is a 6-shot revolver, simply by using an array of pistols instead of just one.

You can quibble with some facets of the video — it looks like the pro shooter in particular is firing more rapidly when he’s shooting from the smaller mags — but one thing it does show is how fast even a relatively inexperienced shooter can reload. And like most physical activities, most humans can do it faster with practice.

They also don’t make it entirely clear why a home defender might want a larger mag, especially in a tactical carbine; they just assert that he does, while an opponent might argue that their own video disproves that. Let’s take a moment to explain what we think they meant.

In the military, there were times when we had a limited supply of larger standard-capacity mags (30) or even high-capacity mags (40, 90, 100 rounds – we tried them all) while most of our mags were still the Vietnam era 20s. We used larger mags for an initial burst of fire to achieve fire superiority if ambushed, or to lay down “to whom it may concern” suppressive fire, for example, in order to break contact. And we also took advantage of the larger mags when dealing with multiple targets — the classic example is in the shoot house with several shoot and several no-shoot targets (hostages and hostage-takers, for example). The private citizen’s version of this nightmare is the multiple-offender home invasion. Having access to standard-capacity mags increases his chances of survival and success.

Hat tip: Citizens Committee for the Right to Keep and Bear Arms. The video was produced with funding from Armalite.

NYPD marksmanship improving

NYPDIn the town that really could use Superman to fight its crime, if only he was real, comes a tale of simple mortals — NYPD plainclothes officers — confronted on the street by what appears to have been a young gangbanger, 16-year-old Kimani Gray. They fired 11 shots when Gray produced a handgun.

Good news: they didn’t hit any bystanders, this time.

Better news: 7 of the 11 shots hit Gray, sparing him a trip to Riker’s Island and sending him express to Hades instead. The WSJ blogs:

Authorities have said two plainclothes police officers fired 11 shots at Gray after he allegedly pointed a revolver at them. Family and friends of the teenager have disputed that he had a gun.

Police said the shooting unfolded after Gray was behaving suspiciously and fiddling with his waistband, suggesting to the officers that he was concealing a weapon. After the plainclothes officers identified themselves, police allege that Gray pulled out a revolver and aimed it in the direction of the officers.

Investigators determined Gray was struck once in the back of his left shoulder, once in back of each thigh, twice in the front right thigh, once in the left rib cage and once in the left forearm. A spokeswoman for the city’s chief medical examiner said the coroner was still investigating which of the bullets killed the teenager.

via Brooklyn Teen Hit by Seven Police Bullets – Metropolis – WSJ.

That bullet sequence sounds to me like the first shots were the ones that struck Gray’s thigh, turning him to the right, and the left side and back wounds went into him as he spun around and fell. The fatal hit was probably the left rib or the left shoulder hit.

Assuming the report is correct, and Gray had a gun (or something that resembled a gun), this is a good shoot. It would have been better without the four stray rounds off in the city air, but it’s a lot better than the display in Midtown a while ago.

Of course the kid’s friends and family say he didn’t have a gun. Repeat after me: it was not in his character. He wasn’t like that. He had made a few mistakes, but he was turning his life around. He was an aspiring (rap star, basketball player, anything but someone who worked for a living like other New Yorkers). But the family couldn’t find a picture for the paper except one with the kid’s hat turned around and him trying to look all grown up and tough.

Pulling a gun on armed men is an IQ test. Gray just failed.

How accurate was a .50 in WWII?

aircraft-machine-guns-armament-ordnanceWe’re familiar with the feats of marksmanship pulled off by snipers using scope-equipped .50 machine guns in Vietnam (this was also done in Korea, but less has been written about it). The Vietnam successes, particularly the late GySgt. Carlos Hathcock’s, paved the way for the development of purpose-built .50 sniper rifles (it’s no coincidence that the M82 Barrett came to fruition at the exact time that the word of Hathcock’s then-15-year-old-feats spread far and wide among serving soldiers and Marines).

With all the ingenuity that was displayed in World War II, why wasn’t the M2HB used as a sniper weapon? A look at some wartime data from the Heavy Barrel’s close cousin, the aerial M2, might be instructive. The interesting website LoneSentry (which was this week’s W4) has a relevant document. They seem to alternate publishing press releases of new kits for modelers with fascinating original documents from the World War II era. And they’ve reprinted numerous excerpts from a 20th Air Force set of B-29 crew notes, which we’ll snag a short excerpt of:

There are several factors to consider in arriving at an answer to the question of how long a burst it is practical to fire. The ammunition has a high degree of accuracy. At 600 yards, when fired from an accuracy rifle held in a V-block, it will group in a circle 18″ in diameter. When fired single shot, using an aircraft machine gun on a tripod mount, tests have shown a 20″ circle of fire.

This is a Mann accuracy device, used for ammunition testing by the Army (this particular one is in 7.62 NATO on a Springfield acton). These were made in all calibers, and ammunition lots had to pass an accuracy test for acceptance.

This is a Mann accuracy device, used for ammunition testing by the Army (this particular one is in 7.62 NATO on a Springfield acton). These were made in all calibers, and ammunition lots had to pass an accuracy test for acceptance.  Image: CMP (which has some of these for sale as collector curiosities).

So that’s the purpose of their investigation — how long a burst makes sense for an aerial gunner to fire. And the first thing they establish is that the theoretical accuracy of the ammunition, fired from a (presumably Mann) accuracy rifle, as roughly 2.87 MoA. (Angular calculation from here, using values of 1800 feet [600 yd] and 1.5 ft [18"]). Using the same calculator to solve angle for longer ranges, using that theoretical accuracy established at 600 yards, we get about a yard dispersion at 1200 yards and 43 inches and change at 1500. Again, this is the theoretical accuracy of the ammunition. Using single shots from an actual MG on a ground tripod (presumably with T&E, although the record doesn’t say) we see a slight degradation which makes that 1200 and 1500 yard shot on a man-sized target problematical (and with iron sights, functionally impossible). In single-shot mode, the differences between the ANM2 aerial machine gun (several variations of which are seen here) and its M2HB ground counterpart are not telling.

The information file goes on to address burst fire, of less interest vis-a-vis sniping but interesting in its own right.

In a burst of 10 or 12 on the same mount the group was approximately five feet. When longer bursts were fired, it was observed that the gun soon lost accuracy, even though it remained relatively stationary in the mount. When over fifty rounds were fired, in one burst, the projectiles tumbled in flight and dispersed over a 75 foot area at 600 yards.

Why is that? Does the barrel get “shot out” that quickly? Not exactly.

When the barrel has been overheated, it will be found that it cannot be relied upon for further accuracy even though the lands and grooves measure up well and the barrel, to all appearances, seems good. If the exterior of the barrel has a burned appearance, it should be tested by ordnance before further use. When a barrel becomes over-heated it expands to such an extent that the muzzle velocity decreases several hundred feet per second. This decrease continues as the barrel continues to expand, until a point is reached where tumbling of the projectiles takes place and controlled fire is reduced to a few hundred feet.

B29Attacks1If an enemy flew his plane to within “a few hundred feet” of a B-29, self-preservation was not high on his agenda. Pilots — German and Japanese alike — who excelled at attacking 4-engined day bombers tended to make fast, slashing, attacks from straight ahead — ahead high, if they could get up there (most of the Japanese fighters were doing well to get to the B-29′s bombing altitude). Pilots who settled in at short range to shoot the four engines out one at a time were in the convergence zone of several guns from that bomber and his cell mates, and their careers tended to the truncated.

The gunner instructors who wrote the document reached this conclusion:

The accuracy of the fire delivered, therefore, depends not only on how steadily the gun is held, but also on the length of the burst, and the condition of the barrel. If a gunner fires short bursts of three to five rounds, constantly using his sights, he will have a tight group and a high degree of accuracy. This is the most effective method of firing your machine guns.

Now, this has always been the advice for ground gunners using air-cooled guns, but it’s enlightening to see aerial gunners getting the same instruction. The ANM2′s principal differences with the M2HB were: a lighter barrel and a ventilated, full-length barrel shroud, on the theory that an aerial gun would be bathed in fast-flowing cooling air. (And, at bomber altitudes, cold air: 50 to 60 degrees below zero F). But they still suffered extreme accuracy degradation, and bullet tumbling, when long bursts were fired.

Many a Japanese fighter pilot's last sight on Earth. Note the upper turret is trained forward, the lower, aft. And yes, it embiggens.  Bill Crump photo (CAF).

Many a Japanese fighter pilot’s last sight on Earth, although this photo, of the only surviving airworthy B-29, was taken at far lower altitude. Note that the upper turret is trained forward, the lower, aft; they can both be controlled by the bombardier in the nose. And yes, the picture embiggens. Bill Crump photo (CAF).

The 20th Air Force was the one that operated B-29s against Japan, first from Chinese bases and then, after the successful Marianas campaign, from Saipan and Tinian. To bring it full circle, its commander was General Curtis LeMay, who was an absolute gun nut, and as Chief of Staff of the Air Force would drive the US adoption of its longest-serving small arm: the M16 series.

Why we Criticize Police Training, Number Umpteen

You’ve gotta be a pretty big bozo to get made sport of — internationally. But the web makes it possible, and a SWAT team of incompetent cops is being taunted from here to London — even in the working class English tabloid, the Daily Mail — for not knowing their weapons, and assembling one improperly. First, we’ll describe the incident; next, the picture; then we’ll get straight to the mockery.

The Crime and the Consequences

The incident was a serious one, and needed more police professionalism than these guys showed,  but it ended well — with the multiple-shooting suspect dead as a mackerel, no cops dead, and no more innocents shot. (The FBI did lose an agent, but he was a K9). But it seems that the could-have-been-worse outcome was despite, not because, of the untrained clown car SWAT team that was deployed on site.

Nobody knows why the guy snapped and shot the people he shot, but he fired up a barber shop, and then went on to an oil-change-and-lube business, killing six and wounding more at these everyday venues. Cornered by cops, he was finally killed when twenty of them swarmed into an abandoned bar from which he was firing. All the information you need is here and in other links on that site.

The Picture and the Problem

Here’s the picture causing the ruckus.

SWAT Bozo

Did you see what’s wrong with the picture? The TV station that took it didn’t. But his EOTech holographic sight is on backwards. (And we’ll bet an EOTEch it had either no batteries, or dead batteries in it. An EOTech has a very short battery life, if switched on, compared to the red dot sights that are more common).

Clue for cops everywhere: If the on-off switch is on the face of the EoTech away from you, you may have a problem. Clue Number Two: If you can only see the hologram reticle when you have a cheek weld on the flash hider, and the buttstock is 30-odd inches away from your face, you have a problem. Like feet, EOTechs go on with the ankle on the rear side and the toes forward.

This not only means he didn’t know how to assemble the rifle, it also means he deployed with a weapon that wasn’t zeroed. (You can’t zero a backwards EOTech. You can’t see the hologram of the reticle).

Then again, in our experience, most police EOTechs are used as carriers for dead batteries anyway.

The picture of the cop with his EOTech on backwards has caught worldwide attention. Let’s let the Daily Mail jeer at the Colonials, shall we?

A SWAT team in upstate New York is being mocked as an example of the difference between military and police training after an officer was captured peering through a backwards sight on his combat rifle. As users on the military Reddit were quick to point out when the image was posted, the reverse sight makes it effectively useless. Users mocked the SWAT officers training and some went so far as to question the motives of some of the men serving in local law enforcement.

“The officer is using a military style assault weapon with a close quarters combat sight that costs roughly $500. It’s disturbing to think that 1 none of his buddies corrected it, and 2 hes in a real-life situation with his optic on backwards, which means hes never fired that rifle with the optic on it, which means it isnt zeroed and he thought it was OK to show up to a gunfight with an unzeroed weapon,” wrote one Reddit user.

Joked another: “So much tomfoolery in this photo. You sure this isnt a screen shot from the next Three Stooges movie.”

via SWAT officer attracts ridicule after he¿s pictured with his rifle sight on backwards | Mail Online.

Now, there were ultimately no consequences to Officer Gun Bozo’s beginner miscue. Despite the backwards sight, the standoff ended with the gunman killed and no reports of innocent bystanders being accidentally shot by SWAT, so this passes the “all’s well that ends well” test. But really. Somebody grab that cop by the stacking swivel and square him away. Please. Next time, he might need to aim that thing.

The good people of the Mohawk Valley in general, and Herkimer in particular, apparently didn’t get enough abuse from the deranged gunman and the cops failing to master EOTech 101 on the way to the call-out. No sooner was this standoff over when Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-Five Families) rolled into town for a campaign photo op, for the Cuomo 2016 presidential campaign that the poor guy doesn’t know has already coded from self-inflicted gun injuries.

The good burghers, many of whom work at Remington in nearby Ilion, booed him. Never assume that all New Yorkers are like X because their Manhattan/Albany political celebrities are X.

Rare first-hand Waco story from ATF agent

ATF BadgeAfter the ATF bungled the raid on religious crank Vernon “David Koresh” Howell’s compound in Waco, Texas, and the FBI bungled the aftermath even more horribly, the one thing that was in short supply was candor from the agents involved. Senior leaders shredded all copies of the operations plans; Assistant US Attorneys led the destruction of evidence. And everybody lawyered up.

Now, over 20 years later, one of the surviving agents, Clay Alexander, sat down with Kenneth Dean of the Tyler, Texas Morning Telegraph, and told his story of that day, he says, for the very first time.

The ATF practiced for days at nearby Fort Hood, but what happened was unexpected.

Minutes after ATF agents pulled up to the compound nine miles outside Waco, four ATF agents and several Branch Davidians were dead from the ensuing gun battle. More than 15 agents and several Davidians, including Koresh, were injured.

Alexander quickly realized on the morning of Feb. 28, 1993, that the situation had escalated beyond the planned worst-case scenario, and he needed to get out of the line of fire. To do so, he had to crawl.

Soon, he and other ATF agents had taken cover and began returning fire.

“I crawled around to the front of the compound and got behind, I remember … a red Honda Accord,” Alexander said. “We were taking a position of cover and concealment from that area until the end of the incident.”

While hiding behind the car, Alexander realized that his legs hurt badly. A fellow agent, Steve Willis, of Houston, lie dead next to him.

SAC Clay Alexander (Tyler Morning Telegraph photo)

SAC Clay Alexander (Tyler Morning Telegraph photo)

Alexander had taken bullets to both legs. All around, agents pinned down behind various vehicles and farm equipment returned fire, but someone inside the compound was firing a .50-caliber rifle at the agents.

“They had the upper hand on us,” he said. “They had positions of cover. They had more firepower. They had bigger weapons. We were at a big-time disadvantage. They were actually firing a .50-caliber rifle at us. There is no way to hide from that or get behind something that is going to stop that on a farm.”

ATF and other law enforcement agents attempted multiple times to reach a cease fire with the Davidians. Both sides eventually stopped firing.

ATF agents gathered their wounded and dead and retreated.

via ATF agent recalls being shot in worst shootout in history.

Alexander is about to retire as SAC of the ATF’s Tyler office. The link has the whole story and a video interview. One of the interesting things is what he took away from that shattering experience, and how it influenced his subsequent law enforcement career.

You couldn’t blame the guy for becoming embittered, for going into future situations determined to shoot first and win. But that’s not what happened at all. SA Alexander resolved to do better than his leaders that day, who knew the raid had lost surprise, but never told the field agents. He vowed, given a leader’s responsibility, not to get officers killed over some no-account criminal, and he never did.

“There are no bad guys out there worth getting a hangnail over,” he says. His goal as a supervisor was to send his agents home safe at the end of the day — and he managed to do that. Since he’s been in Tyler, they’e been making their arrests, but there’s been no use of deadly force, and no one — agent or suspect — has been injured.

Here’s wishing Clay Alexander a long and safe retirement, and wishing his colleagues many more years of not making the kind of news they did at Waco.

Air Attack on Syria, 6 Sep 2007

We know a great deal about the Israeli jet attack that derailed Iraq’s one-time nuclear weapons ambitions. There’s been a book written about it; IAF pilots who flew the raid have appeared in documentaries. We know a lot less about the September, 2007 raid that took out Syria’s al-Kibar weapons reactor, and some of the North Korean experts who were going to advise the Syrian nuclear program.

 

Everyone who had knowledge of the attack, both before and after, had reasons to clam up. The Israelis might have to use the same tactics, techniques and procedures against an Iranian target. The United States had an incoherent policy then, that is even more incoherent now (although you won’t know how incoherent it was then, without reading the article linked in this blog post). And Syria? And Nork? Two regimes of marginal legitimacy had just lost massive amounts of face — they weren’t going to dwell on it in public.

While we still don’t know a lot about the tactical and operational art of the strike, Elliot Abrams, a player in American mideast foreign policy for years, has, for his own reasons, gone public with his recollection of the diplomacy involved. It’s interesting, but we’ll skip right to his conclusion:

Finally, this incident is a reminder that there is no substitute for military strength and the will to use it. Think of how much more dangerous to the entire region the Syrian civil war would be today if Assad had a nuclear reactor, and even perhaps nuclear weapons, in hand. Israel was right to bomb that reactor before construction was completed, and President Bush was right to support its decision to do so. Israel was also right in rejecting fears that the incident would lead to a larger war and in believing that it, and the United States, would be better off after this assertion of leadership and determination. That lesson must be on the minds of Israeli, and American, leaders in 2013.

via « Bombing the Syrian Reactor: The Untold Story Commentary Magazine.

Abrams, of course, is typical of both parties’ foreign-policy mandarins. Highly verbal, intelligent, Jewish-in-a-deracinated-way, egotistical to the point of narcissistic personality disorder, averse to military service in their own families and disdainful of those that perform it, here or abroad. Altogether, someone more to be respected for his connections than saluted for his judgment. But he was there, he tells his story, and he reaches his conclusions based on a very great deal of foreign policy practice.

Unlike Mr Abrams, we don’t think the lessons of al-Kibar are going to make a dent in the thick skulls of American leaders in 2013. That the Israelis are thinking about it, and Osirak, and 1967, and 1956, and Entebbe, and a thousand successes and failures of the Israeli military and clandestine services, we have no doubt. But by and large, our current leaders sympathize more with Iran’s brutal mullahs than with the beleaguered Israelis; our freshly confirmed Secretary Defense is now the most powerful anti-Semite to be loose in the world since 8 May 45.

If Israel had to go it alone in the Bush administration (and Abrams recounts how and why they did), they must know they face Iran alone — in the best case. It would not be out of the realm of possibility for the US to join, for instance, a UN initiative for Iran and against Israel, given the current alignment of powers in DC.

So what would an Israeli attack on Natanz and other Iranian sites look like?

It wouldn’t look like Osirak or al-Kibar. The Iranians have been expecting that, and so they don’t have their whole nuc program conveniently installed in a single target complex. Instead, there is a wide, distributed, and hardened target array. That array comprises about a dozen large, fixed, and very hardened and defended fixed targets, scores of smaller, clandestine sites that the Iranians hope they’ve kept out of Israel’s target folders and sensor priority list, and hundreds of point targets — including such highly mobile ones as individual people.

Each target has to be characterized, prioritized, and set up for service. The Israelis can’t do this with a flight of F-16s — nor with a squadron, or a wing. They’ll need the whole Air Force. They’ll need vast quantities of precision strike weapons, delivered by jets, drones, missiles and possibly helicopters. And they’ll need SOF to hit some targets and to conduct BDA and SSE.

So it can’t be done overnight, and then presented to Israel’s enemies from Qom to Turtle Bay as a fait accompli. We’re looking at a campaign in the durative aspect. Can Israel, and her friends, stick it out politically?

But, as Abrams writes, (paraphrasing a statement of then-PM Ehud Olmert) “Israel cannot live with a Syrian nuclear reactor; we will not accept it.” Israel can no more live with an Iranian bomb.

You can’t quit, you’re fired (at)

godfatherAn Atlanta youth gang has watched too many Mafia movies: you know the scene, where the reluctant Mafioso has the organization’s retirement plan, or rather, lack of one, explained to him. Usually in the back of the head.

“Never since I’ve been in law enforcement have I seen someone shot 15 times and live,” U.S. Marshal Eric Heinz said. “(He) told the other members of the gang, ‘Hey, look, I want to go straight, be law-abiding,’ and they weren’t happy with it.”

The 19-year-old was shot and started crawling and moaning, MyFoxAtlanta.com reported. The people who aided him are now in protective custody. The gang’s motto is reportedly: You’re in until you die.

Well, apparently they failed at that, because despite absorbing 15 hits, the young man is going to live. We suppose he’s unlucky he wasn’t in Cuomostan, where he could only have been shot with 7 rounds, except by criminals (oh. wait, what?) or by the police, who of course could have fired 15 shots but would probably have hit him and nine bystanders again.

We’re not joking about the Mafia movie connection to these jokers. These yout’s call themselves the Young Mob, a subset of a street gang that calls themselves the Goodfellas, according the US Marshal quoted by Fox 5 Atlanta (warning: site is infected with Undertone malware).

But seriously, what kind of person would do such a thing?

Agents with the U.S. Marshals Counter Gang Unit and Atlanta Police arrested two people in the shooting, including a 16-year-old and 19-year-old Farrakmad Muhammad Price, who they say was found Tuesday hiding in Tennessee.

via Atlanta teen survives being shot 15 times after telling gang he wants out | Fox News.

We’re shocked, shocked, that a dude named Muhammad is in the bag for this one. That hardly ever happens!

Six reasons “practical” competition isn’t

USMC sight picture illustrationThe various pistol, rifle, and multi-gun competitions are often billed as good training for self-defense and even for police and military operations, but they aren’t for a number of reasons:

Too much emphasis on the quick draw

Perhaps the generations of Hollywood westerns that dominated the American cultural mindscape from circa 1950 to 1970 are to blame: the vast majority of the founders and rulemakers of these sports are Baby Boomers, whose cultural formation took place in the Cowboys and Indians period.

The quickest draw, of course, is the one where the gun is already in your hand, and people know this even if event organizers don’t. In an actual defensive situation, it may well be more important to draw the gun with stealth than with speed. But “practical” shooting goes for quick-draw flash every time.

This complaint could actually be more generalized: these sports overemphasize speed in general, leading to risk-taking in the interests of speed. This is an incentive badly aligned with the needs of military and police forces. The quick draw and the snap shot are advanced skills to be pursued only when aimed deliberate fire is not possible.

Not enough emphasis on good judgment

When there are lasting consequences from a shooting in the military or police, it’s seldom because the shooter wasn’t quick enough. It’s almost always because the shooter could have exercised better judgment. Speed pressure is, of course, corrosive of judgment. When to shoot is almost always a decision of subordinate importance to whether to shoot. Exercises that test that judgment don’t fit into the speed/accuracy/penalty scoring paradigm of most events.

For decades, aviation safety experts pursued better pilot skills, but in the last 20 years of wo they’ve fully internalized the idea that most mishap involve, in some way, a pilot of perfectly adequate stick and rudder skills being tested in his judgment and found wanting. This has led to an air safety revolution, as the training and evaluation base has added judgment analytics, scenario-based-training, desicision-making exercises and counteraction of hazardous attitudes to its toolbox. Combat weaponscraft is ready for a similar revolution.

Almost every tragic combat shooting story we cover here is a tale of judgment. Why isn’t this part of practical shooting events?

Optimizing vs Satisficing

Those are two approaches economists and decision-theory wonks see as alternative decision modes.  Optimizing is well understood. It is done by evaluating the possibilities and getting the absolute optimum one. Satisficing is a much less frequently encountered word, even though it’s a much more commonly used decision strategy — one that recognizes that time spent optimizing is itself a steep opportunity cost.

Satisficing means, essentially, setting a bar (threshold) and accepting any outcome that crosses that bar. Real gunfights are like that: if you’re alive, your opponent(s) dead, and no friendly fire or collateral damge has taken place, that’s a win. So in the real world every disabling shot into a human target has equal value: there is no x-ring. In the competitions, there’s great weight on very minute variations in speed and accuracy. It’s probably impossible to design a “practical” competition that’s weighted the way combat is.

Encouraging gimmicky weapons and holsters

Screen shot 2013-02-25 at 9.55.21 PMHow practical are these rigs, really? In some events you see 6″ barreled 1911s with trigger jobs that are not safe off the range and mounted optics, dangling in gimmicky mid-thigh holsters. Carry that for a week and let us know how it’s working for you.

Adding a real field-oriented test or two to the stages might bring some reality back. Like thrust the gun in a 55-gallon drum of mud before a stage. How you like your red dot now?

Unimaginative targets

ipsctargReal enemies don’t stand still, and don’t make straight line, linear moves as if they’re on rails. Most of the targets presented in competition do one or the other of these.

The scoring rings on the IPSC target, also, are somewhat unrealistic. But there’s no really realistic way to render the way that the human organism absorbs shots — because there’s so much individual variation and chance involved. The IPSC rings are a trade-off, and while we have to think there has to be a better trade-off, we don’t have one to suggest right now.

Wrong penalties on the wrong things

The penalties assessed for time are probably too high, and those assessed for missing the target are too low. Particularly shooting a “hostage” or “bystander” — that should be not just a stage forfeit, but a tournament misconduct. Pushing speed and going mild on collateral negligence is not practical. In the real world, there are no backstops: solid hits are at a premium.

The bottom line

The bottom line on these sports is that they are, well, sports. They’re not without value — nothing motivates like competition, and speed and accuracy are things that are worth pursuing. But you should never mistake these stylized sports for actual preparation for combat. Two different animals.

There’s an irony in that, of course: the ATF recognizes none of these sports as sports, just as it is blind to game hunting with modern sporting rifles. Its idea of what is “sporting” is frozen in 1968.

In the end, competitive “practical” shooting is about as useful preparing you for a combat or defensive gun use as the Daytona 500 is to prepare you for your morning commute. So why do it?

The only reason we can come up with is: it’s a blast. There is that.

No more “no more hesitation” targets?

Take that, little Johnny!

Take that, little Johnny! One of the controversial targets.

A company we’ve personally done business with, Law Enforcement Targets (which offers, as you might expect, a wide range of LE targets, but also military and general purpose targets and target systems) has been in the news lately, and not in a good way. Their targets range from the various qualification targets specified by many agencies, to comical targets of zombies and the “Minnesota State Bird”: the mosquito.

It wasn’t mosquito targets that made the news. A series of targets developed for DHS were featured, if that’s the word, at Alex Jones’s conspiracy website, InfoWars. The targets were called “No More Hesitation” targets, and showed targets that some LE trainers say officers have trouble shooting: old folks, children, mothers with children, and pregnant women. With flames fanned by Jones and his allies, people lost track of the fact that every target showed the individual in a threat posture with a weapon (usually a handgun).

LET-5The targets were, in fact, slightly more realistic (because they were photo-based) versions of the shoot/no-shoot targets that we military CT guys were trained on back in the day, except without the vital interchangeable hands and weapons that our targets had. (The purpose of this is to drill the shooter to look for the hands to assess the threat, not to rely on the general gestalt of the person he sees). A hostage, a hostage-taker brandishing a gun, an unarmed individual reaching for an innocuous object, an armed individual muzzling the shooter’s projected firing position, and an armed individual not muzzling the shooter, and perhaps displaying a badge or other recognition sign, are different things that require different responses on a split-second basis. To us, that was clearly the (not quite realized) intent behind these targets.

But to the public already alarmed by DHS’s focus on political opponents as targets and wartime-army-level ammo buys, it was an easy sale for Jones, that the purpose of the targets was to “desensitize LE agents to murdering unarmed civilians.” A careful look at the targets indicates that this could not have been the target-makers’ intent (we reiterate, all targets showed people in a threat position with lethal weapons), but when the legend gets big, the papers print the legend.

In light of this,  LE Targets has thrown in the sponge. The former link to the No More Hesitation targets now 404′s. And the front page of the website contains this explanation:

LE Targets Statement_2

 

As we’ve written, we didn’t think the targets were particularly offensive. and the basic idea: to stress-inoculate officers to some degree, and to get them to look to the weapon, not the person, to define the threat, is a good one. The fulfillment of the idea, in this case, was not as good as it might have been, but Jones’s complaint about the targets is quite mistaken.

These cops didn't hesitate. Oops.

These cops didn’t hesitate. Oops.

One interesting thing: the firm has removed the targets from the website, but it doesn’t actually say it isn’t selling them.

One more interesting thing (and we wish I could remember what blog this idea is shamelessly lifted from, so as to give credit): maybe hesitation is a problem some cops could have used a little more of?